June 18, 2017

Seasonal Outlook: The Weather Company Expects Warm/Dry Summer Likely Across Much of Mainland Europe

North Atlantic Blocking May Limit Potential for 2003 Levels of Heat/Dryness

Andover, MA, 19 June 2017 — For the aggregate July-September period, The Weather Company, an IBM Business, is forecasting above-normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation across most of Europe, with the exception of Scandinavia and northwestern Russia. The warmth and dryness are expected to be especially notable across southern mainland Europe.  

“The magnitude of the warmth so far in June has been impressive across much of mainland Europe, with unusually cool temperatures across northwestern Russia,” said Dr. Todd Crawford, chief meteorologist with The Weather Company. “With no significant change apparent for the remainder of June, the odds are increasing that this locks in and becomes the dominant summer pattern going forward. This idea is supported by most of the dynamical and statistical forecast guidance as well. Clearly, the early heat and dryness and the expectations of its persistence bring to mind the summer of 2003, and some similarity to that summer is certainly not out of the question this year. The elephant in the room is the potential development of summer blocking in the North Atlantic later in the summer, which would limit the magnitude of heat and dryness across northwestern Europe.”

For the July-September 2017 period, The Weather Company is forecasting the following conditions:


  • Nordic region – Cooler than normal
  • U.K. – Warmer than normal
  • Northern Mainland – Generally warmer than normal
  • Southern Mainland – Generally warmer than normal


  • Nordic region – Cooler than normal
  • U.K. – Cooler than normal north, warmer than normal south
  • Northern Mainland – Warmer than normal, except far north
  • Southern Mainland – Warmer than normal


  • Nordic region – Cooler than normal
  • U.K. – Warmer than normal
  • Northern Mainland – Warmer than normal
  • Southern Mainland – Warmer than normal

The Weather Company provides customized weather information to global commodity traders via its industry-leading WSI Trader Web site. The Weather Company will issue its next seasonal outlook on 24 July.



The Weather Company, an IBM Business

The Weather Company, an IBM Business, helps people make informed decisions and take action in the face of weather. The company offers the most accurate, personalized, and actionable weather data and insights to millions of consumers, as well as thousands of marketers and businesses via Weather’s API, its business solutions division, and its own digital products from The Weather Channel ( and Weather Underground (

The company delivers tens of billions of forecasts daily. Its products include a top weather app on all major mobile platforms globally, a network of 250,000 personal weather stations, a top-20 U.S. website, one of the world’s largest IoT data platforms, and industry-leading business solutions.

Weather Means Business™. The world’s biggest brands in aviation, energy, insurance, media, and government rely on The Weather Company for data, technology platforms and services to help improve decision-making and respond to weather’s impact on business. For more, visit


Media Contacts: Lea Armstrong, The Weather Company,