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December 16, 2016

Seasonal Outlook: Cold Continues to be Focused in Eastern Europe and Western Russia Heading into the New Year 2017

Stratospheric Evolution May be Key for Western Europe

Andover, MA, 19 December 2016 — For the aggregate January-March period, The Weather Company, an IBM Business, is forecasting above-normal temperatures across most of Europe, with the exception of Iberia. The relative warmth will be most anomalous across Scandinavia.

“As in October and November, the focus of the December cold has continued to be in eastern Europe and western Russia, while western Europe has been fairly mild this month.” said Dr. Todd Crawford, Chief Meteorologist, The Weather Company, “We expect the persistent Scandinavian ridging to regress a bit into the Northeast Atlantic, which may allow the cold weather to slide further west across parts of southern Europe, at least early in January. We continue to watch the stratosphere for signs of a polar vortex breakdown that may allow more extensive North Atlantic blocking that would increase the chances for cold in western Europe in time for the end of winter.”

For the January to March 2017 time period, The Weather Company is forecasting the following conditions:

January:

  • Nordic Region - Warmer than normal
  • UK - Slightly warmer than normal
  • Northern Mainland - Warmer than normal
  • Southern Mainland - Warmer than normal west, colder than normal east

February:

  • Nordic Region – Colder than normal
  • UK – Colder than normal
  • Northern Mainland - Colder than normal
  • Southern Mainland - Warmer than normal east, colder than normal west

March:

  • Nordic Region – Warmer than normal
  • UK – Slightly warmer than normal
  • Northern Mainland - Warmer than normal
  • Southern Mainland - Warmer than normal east, colder than normal west

The Weather Company provides customized weather information to global commodity traders via its industry-leading WSI Trader Web site. The Weather Company will issue its next seasonal outlook on 23 January.