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June 21, 2016

UK Seasonal Outlook: Return of Cool West, Warm East European Pattern for Late Summer

Wet Spring will Limit Magnitude of Heat Across Mainland

For the aggregate July-September period, The Weather Company, an IBM Business is forecasting below-normal temperatures across the UK and western mainland Europe, with above-normal temperatures across most of southern and eastern Europe.

“The first half of June ran counter to our aggregate summer expectations, but the recent pattern flip seems to align better with the outlook,” said Dr. Todd Crawford, Chief Meteorologist, The Weather Company.  “We feel that the expected summer pattern will become more locked in as the summer progresses, with cooler weather confined to parts of western Europe and hot summer weather becoming prevalent across southern and eastern Europe.  However, the very wet late winter and spring suggests that magnitude of the warmth will not be particularly impressive, with the potential exception of parts of Scandinavia and northwestern Russia”

For the July to September 2016 time period, The Weather Company is forecasting the following conditions:

July:

  • Nordic Region*- Warmer than normal
  • UK* - Cooler than normal
  • Northern Mainland* - Cooler than normal
  • Southern Mainland* - Warmer than normal

August:

  • Nordic Region – Cooler than normal west, warmer than normal east
  • UK - Cooler than normal
  • Northern Mainland - Cooler than normal west, warmer than normal east
  • Southern Mainland - Warmer than normal

September:

  • Nordic Region – Cooler than normal south, warmer than normal north
  • UK – Cooler than normal
  • Northern Mainland - Cooler than normal
  • Southern Mainland - Warmer than normal

The Weather Company provides customized weather information to global commodity traders via its industry-leading WSI Trader website. The Weather Company will issue its next seasonal outlook on 25 July. 

*To view the map defining The Weather Company’s European regions, click here.